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Saturday, May 27, 2023

Why Hurricanes Will be More and More Intense?

At the moment, it’s becoming more common to see hurricanes get stronger quickly, and the chances that when one forms, it will get bigger seem to be going up, according to a researcher who spoke at a remote conference broadcast by the National University Autonomous of Mexico.

In the “Current Overview of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate Change” conference series, Purdue University researcher Dan Chavas used Hurricane Patricia, which hit land in 2015 with winds of up to 345 km/h, as an example of how quickly one of these natural events got stronger.

“We are seeing more and more of these kinds of behaviors. Maybe there is more agreement, and I think peak intensity is harder. It’s hard to tell if storms are getting stronger or not, but more hurricanes are getting stronger, which is a sign,” the expert said.

Chava, who has a PhD in atmospheric sciences from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), gave a talk on the use of experimental laboratory models to understand tropical cyclones on Earth. In it, he talked about how computer studies can be used to learn about their behavior over time and simulate how it changes.

The fact that these systems are used to change things and make weather predictions shows how complicated they are. They have also made it possible to track cyclones and hurricanes like Katia, Irma, and José in 2017, as well as Sandy in 2012, which caused up to $65 billion in damage and was one of the worst hurricanes in recent history.

How does the planet warm and what to expect next?

The researcher said that a lot of scientists around the world try to answer questions about how the planet warms and what to expect in terms of speed and minimum pressure. It is hoped that by using computational models, it will be easier to understand what happens.

“One of the things that should be known to figure out what is going on is the temperature of the sea. This is important information for figuring out the potential for maximum intensity,” said the expert on tropical cyclones, severe weather, risk analysis and modeling, and the social effects of these things.

Recent studies done by his team showed that climate change has changed how strong cyclones are. However, the expert said that the Earth is probably at a point where rainfall is increasing and may become stronger as well as more common. at the University of Wisconsin-Madison in applied mathematics and atmospheric and oceanic sciences.

How do you figure out how strong a hurricane is?

Even though scientists don’t know exactly why or how a hurricane starts, it is clear that it needs two things to happen: warm water and winds that don’t change direction or speed too much.

Winds of 119 kilometers per hour or even more can be made by these huge, violent storms. Because of how powerful it is, the damage it does can be very bad.

The Saffir-Simpson scale divides hurricanes into five types, or categories, based on how fast their winds are:

  • Category 1 hurricanes have winds that are between 119 and 153 km/h.
  • Category 2 hurricanes have winds that are between 154 and 177 km/h.
  • Category 3 hurricanes have winds that go between 178 and 208 km/h.
  • Category 4 hurricanes have winds that go between 209 and 251 km/h.
  • Category 5 hurricanes have winds that are faster than 252 km/h.

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